Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 104.893821 120.640626 139.204130 163.050746 193.398743 231.495729 284.241300
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 81.786318 100.302268 124.432470 159.338435 210.716582 287.670468 421.347734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 69.835183 89.219261 116.197521 158.590406 228.184447 348.742662 607.809503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 62.232699 81.989209 110.910438 159.480021 246.974956 420.288218 885.471369
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 55.204516 74.259104 103.138634 153.985750 252.143076 468.508359 1177.945583
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 52.167376 71.889119 103.027502 161.090161 283.460603 595.479580 1998.521502
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 47.573965 66.489328 97.084672 156.156517 287.754117 658.052093 2799.114327
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 44.705705 63.462707 94.632368 157.256006 306.219920 780.716662 4784.207898
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 41.747826 59.962490 90.857339 154.870989 315.345935 883.586386 8051.437390
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.063662 60.128934 93.587905 166.652987 367.709812 1241.659679 37584.775897
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.222008 61.715007 99.139086 186.210111 456.182488 2044.392281 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.085698 59.057301 96.142581 184.811302 474.973308 2469.460070 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.772855 56.119796 92.705762 182.871780 496.773126 3124.690895 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.436579 52.980774 88.573672 178.522424 508.699735 3844.354707 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 32.659486 50.710260 85.949989 177.642145 536.313415 5213.058352 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.225448 48.947957 84.167070 178.693184 575.344930 7778.665435 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.379270 46.258820 80.082978 172.211141 572.292020 9330.075372 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.748412 45.838768 80.908281 180.596219 660.690917 22142.355454 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.237032 43.593764 77.400256 174.770037 659.484850 29978.595077 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.299759 42.409836 76.185320 176.067183 708.463005 74545.827697 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.194630 40.817958 73.867556 173.254321 727.287774 176839.004166 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.093465 41.221981 76.266878 187.182565 901.352489 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 25.366346 42.406366 80.722597 210.478784 1241.822644 NaN NaN